Burnley vs. Watford prediction, odds, line: Expert reveals English Premier League picks, best bets for Feb. 5

Host Burnley has several games in hand, but both teams will be desperate for points when the Clarets host Watford on Saturday in an English Premier League match at Turf Moor. Both are in the relegation zone, with Burnley (1-9-8) in last place and Watford (4-2-14) in 19th, but the Clarets have played just 18 games through 23 matchweeks. This is a make-up for a Matchweek 17 game that has been postponed twice. So while many teams play in the FA Cup, the bottom-dwellers face off in the only Premier League matchup this weekend. Burnley has five draws in its past nine matches, including a 0-0 stalemate with Arsenal on Jan. 23. The Hornets have lost eight of nine, including a 3-0 drubbing by 17th-place Norwich City on Jan. 21.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET in Burnley, England. Burnley is the +115 favorite (risk $100 to win $115) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Burnley vs. Watford odds. Watford is the +245 underdog, a draw is priced at +205 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Watford vs. Burnley picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Burnley vs. Watford from every angle and just revealed his coveted picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Watford vs. Burnley:

• Burnley vs. Watford spread: Burnley -0.5 (+115)
• Burnley vs. Watford over-under: 2.5 goals 
• Burnley vs. Watford money line: Burnley +115, Watford +245, Draw +205
• BUR: Wout Weghorst had 59 goals in 118 matches with Wolfsburg 
• WAT: Joshua King has five goals and three assists in 18 games

Featured Game | Burnley vs. Watford

Why you should back Burnley

The Clarets are 4-1-1 in the last six meetings with Watford, and 21-10-13 all-time in all competitions. They should be well-rested and healthy, and they lost one player but might have gained an upgrade. Chris Wood moved on to Newcastle, but the team pulled off a surprise move in adding forward Wout Weghorst from Wolfsburg. The 6-foot-5 Weghorst tied for third in the Bundesliga in shots (92) last season and was fourth in attempts on target (34). He could make a huge difference for a team that is last in the Premier League in both areas.

Weghorst should form a dangerous duo with Maxwel Cornet, who leads the team with six goals in 10 games. He had time to get healthy before heading to the Africa Cup of Nations, and he is back from that obligation. Meanwhile, the Hornets are without Ismaila Sarr (five goals), who will be playing in Sunday’s AFCON final with Senegal. Watford also will be missing top scorer Emmanuel Dennis, who has eight goals but is out on a booking suspension. Burnley has long been a physical team, and the addition of Weghorst and a fierce crowd should spur them on.

Why you should back Watford

The Hornets have 42 more shots, with 25 more on target, than Burnley this season. They have struggled mightily, but they pulled off a major coup when they talked Roy Hodgson into leading the team. The former Liverpool and England manager retired from Crystal Palace last summer but said he wouldn’t rule out a return. He steered Palace from relegation danger in his first season there, and teams that see a midseason manager change often see a boost. Hodgson is a legendary tactician and will get the most out of a roster that has added a few new pieces.   

The back line has been a major issue all season, but Hassane Kamara (Nice) and Samir (Udinese) were added during the January transfer window. They should provide more protection for Daniel Bachmann, who had a 76.1 save percentage and 13 clean sheets in 23 matches in the Championship last season. 

How to make Watford vs. Burnley picks

Green has scrutinized Watford vs. Burnley from all sides, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also provides another confident best bet and gives his full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert EPL picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Burnley vs. Watford? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Watford vs. Burnley, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.