April 12, 2024

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Round 29 fixtures, schedule, odds

4 min read
Round 29 fixtures, schedule, odds

The chase for fourth place in the English Premier League could get clearer this weekend.

Arsenal is a favorite to get three points against Leicester City on Sunday. The Gunners currently occupy the fourth spot by a point over Manchester United and three points over Tottenham. Arsenal has three games in hand over United and a game in hand over Tottenham.

Arsenał will also know where Man U and Tottenham stand before it kicks off too. The fifth and seventh-place teams in the table play each other at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. If United wins, it (temporarily?) jumps into fourth. If Tottenham wins, it’s tied with Arsenal on points but behind on goal difference.

Outside of the race for the final Champions League spot, the biggest game of the weekend comes at the bottom of the table. Eighteenth-place Burnley visits 15th-place Brentford in a game that could be vital in May. Burnley is six points back of Brentford with two games in hand. A win for Burnley could get it out of the relegation zone and as high as 16th in the table.

Here’s what you need to know for the weekend’s fixtures. All odds are from BetMGM. There are six games on Sunday after four games were played on Thursday. All games are Saturday unless noted.

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Liverpool (over/under 2.5 goals)

  • Brighton & Hove (+475)

  • Liverpool (-200)

  • Tie (+350)

Brighton is in the midst of a slump. Liverpool keeps getting points without playing well and that can be a dangerous game. But Brighton’s current form doesn’t make us too confident that Liverpool is going to lose this game.

Brentford vs. Burnley (2.5)

  • Brentford (+125)

  • Burnley (+270)

  • Tie (+195)

Brentford beat Norwich over the weekend. We’re not sure what to take from that given that everyone is beating Norwich these days. We’re inclined to go with the Bees, but no result is going to surprise us.

Manchester United vs. Tottenham (2.5)

  • Manchester United (+110)

  • Tottenham (+220)

  • Tie (+260)

Manchester United could win by five goals and it wouldn’t be a stunner. Tottenham could win by five goals and it wouldn’t be a stunner. This could be a 0-0 draw and it wouldn’t be a stunner. That said, we’re going with the over.

Southampton vs. Watford (2.5) [Sunday]

  • Southampton (-175)

  • Watford (+475)

  • Tie (+310)

The Saints are just a point back of Aston Villa and in 10th place in the table. Watford looks destined for relegation. Southampton is the pick.

Leeds vs. Norwich City (3.5) [Sunday]

  • Leeds (-175)

  • Norwich (+450)

  • Tie (+333)

It’s not often you see a team in the midst of a massive slide as a -175 to win, but that’s what’s going on with Leeds here. Could this be Jesse Marsch’s first win as coach? Possibly.

Everton vs. Wolves (2.5) [Sunday]

  • Everton (+130)

  • Wolves (+225)

  • Tie (+220)

Everton desperately needs a win after getting thrashed by Tottenham on Monday. A Wolves win coupled with a Burnley win could drop Everton into the relegation zone. How crazy is that?

West Ham vs. Aston Villa (2.5) [Sunday]

  • West Ham (+130)

  • Aston Villa (+210)

  • Tie (+225)

This is a fascinating contest. West Ham arguably deserved a point against Liverpool over the weekend and lost by a goal to Sevilla in the Europa League on Thursday. David Moyes fielded a full-strength team in Spain — how many changes can he afford to make on Sunday?

Chelsea vs. Newcastle (2.5) [Sunday]

  • Chelsea (-350)

  • Newcastle (+950)

  • Tie (+425)

The turmoil surrounding Chelsea is the great unknown here. The club is allowed to operate despite owner Roman Abramovich’s asset freeze, though the club can’t make any transactions in the near future. Shirt sponsor Three has also backed out of its deal with the team. Chelsea should win, but a Newcastle win may be more likely than the +950 odds indicate.

Arsenal vs. Leicester City (2.5) [Sunday]

  • Arsenal (-200)

  • Leicester City (+500)

  • Tie (+360)

Leicester enters on a two-game EPL win streak, though the victories were over Burnley and Leeds. Arsenal has won three straight games and has gotten points in its last four. We strongly lean Arsenal.

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City (2.5) [Monday]

  • Palace (+800)

  • Manchester City (-300)

  • Tie (+450)

Palace beat Manchester City 2-0 on the road earlier this year and has been a reliable source of points with seven wins and 12 draws in 28 games. It seems doubtful that Palace can sweep the season series with the Citizens, but maybe you should hedge slightly on a tie or Palace win just in case.

LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 07: Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates scoring his side's third goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Everton at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on March 07, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Chris Brunskill/Fantasista/Getty Images)

Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates scoring his side’s third goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Everton at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on March 7, 2022, in London. (Photo by Chris Brunskill/Fantasista/Getty Images)

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